Bournemouth have a better defense, but a horrendous attack. Fulham have a good attack, but an abhorrent defense. Funny enough, both should be in the bottom 3, but here we are. Bournemouth and Fulham sit 9th and 10th in the table, which is shocking frankly. Two newly promoted sides face off Saturday, as Bournemouth travel to the dreaded Craven Cottage. Picks: Leicester City / Crystal Palace Over 2.5 (-114) 1.5 Units Over, easy bet, every week at this price. Both attacks are less impressive from a metric standpoint, but I am going to trust the talent I see with my eyes. The Foxes concede 1.60 NPxGA/90, which is 3rd worst in the league, and Palace are 13th in this metric. I think this should be open and maybe a 2-2 here. Neither of these teams will settle for a point, as they sit 15th and 20th in the league. Palace are less potent, but have gone over in their last 2 matches. The combination of a good attack and a poor defense leads to that. More than 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches, and 8-1 on the season. If you have been reading my work, you know Leicester Overs are a thing this season. It feels to me Leicester are due for a result or two, but I do like the over. I would lean Palace +0.25 on the side, but I am passing. Palace have a stronger defense, but have some nice attacking pieces and play with some punch. Leicester have loads of attacking talent, but also make tons of mistakes at the back. Two of my favorite teams to watch in the Premier League.
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